25 November, 2009

Online Interpersonal Communication, Accidental Exposure and By-Product Political Learning During the British General Election of 2010: A Study of Twitter.

My colleague, Dr Oliver Heath, and I have today submitted a proposal to the “full application” round of the Leverhulme Trust’s Research Projects Grant competition (the deadline is December 1; the “outline application” was submitted in June 2009). A brief synopsis is below. If you’re working in the area of Twitter and politics, or are considering a project in this area and would like more information regarding our theoretical framework, research questions, and hypotheses, contact me by email: andrew.chadwick@rhul.ac.uk.

Online Interpersonal Communication, Accidental Exposure and By-Product Political Learning During the British General Election of 2010: A Study of Twitter

We know very little about how the internet now shapes political behaviour in Britain. Most of what we do know comes from valuable empirical political science funded during the early 2000s. But since then, citizens’ online political habits and the nature of the internet have both changed dramatically, with the now well-established shift toward greater interactivity and interpersonal communication through online social network sites and web 2.0 services. This project will empirically explore the contemporary internet’s effects on political engagement by focusing on interpersonal communication, accidental exposure, and by-product political learning. To do so, it will examine parliamentary candidates’ and the public’s behaviour on Twitter—the most intriguing, controversial, and fastest growing online social network service in the UK to date—during the general election of 2010. The project will explore the general role and function of Twitter in British political communication, but most importantly it will assess the extent to which the serendipitous nature of web 2.0 online environments increases levels of accidental exposure to political information. It will identify the extent to which interpersonal communication creates accidental exposure that may or may not lead to by-product political learning and political engagement, including voting.

Studying political communication in a diffuse interpersonal environment like Twitter has many advantages, but it also presents significant methodological challenges. We seek to overcome these through a research design incorporating a novel, nonintrusive, natural experiment. Multivariate statistical analyses, including multiple regression (with lagged variables), simultaneous latent class analysis and structural equation modelling, will be used to test hypotheses about direct exposure and accidental exposure to candidates’ messages and by-product learning about politics, relative entertainment preference, political interest, political efficacy, and political engagement (including voting), and other salient variables.

14 May, 2009
Alexa traffic rankings for the far-right BNP, the Conservatives, Labour, the LibDems and UKIP. As we move into the European Parliament elections, this requires explanation.

Alexa traffic rankings for the far-right BNP, the Conservatives, Labour, the LibDems and UKIP. As we move into the European Parliament elections, this requires explanation.

14 April, 2009

You won’t be seeing any of them going near it again, said a Labour figure.

From Jim Pickard, FT Political Correspondent, on the Labour leadership’s likely approach to LabourList from now on. If true, it’s a pity. Parties need to use the web to connect the grassroots to the leadership.

24 March, 2009

“The Change We Need” - context

The Change We Need has rightly sparked off a huge debate, and it’s an important one, not only for Labour, but for all British political parties.

Part of the analytical context here can be found in this article that Nick Anstead and I published in the summer of 2008:

Anstead, N. and Chadwick, A. (2008) ‘Parties, Election Campaigning and the Internet: Toward A Comparative Institutional Approach’ in Chadwick, A. and Howard, P. N. (eds) The Handbook of Internet Politics (Routledge), pp. 56-71. Download pdf.

More information on the Handbook of Internet Politics here.

23 March, 2009

“The Change We Need” book launch

New Political Communication Unit PhD student and UEA politics lecturer Nick Anstead today publishes The Change We Need: What Britain Can Learn from Obama’s Victory, a Fabian Society book co-edited with Will Straw and featuring a Foreword by Gordon Brown.

Links:

2 March, 2009

Photos of the Progress/Blue State Digital Labour 2.0 conference, February 28, 2009, courtesy of bitospud.

28 February, 2009
Joe Rospars at Labour 2.0 conference February 28, 2009.

Joe Rospars at Labour 2.0 conference February 28, 2009.

28 February, 2009

Back to the future: organizational values and online campaigning

Text of talk to the Progress/Blue State Digital conference at 12 today.

———————————————————————————-

First, let me say thanks to Progress and to Blue State Digital for organizing this excellent event. It’s wonderful to be here at Canary Wharf. It doesn’t quite have the resonance of Farringdon Street, which is where the Labour Representation Committee was founded on February 27, 1900, but I think the WiFi here might be better. We’ll see.

It may sound surprising, but I don’t want to say too much about technology. There’s now no doubt that we’re living through genuinely significant change in the political communication environment. I have long argued that in order to understand where party politics is going, we need to understand how technologies shape politicians’ and citizens’ behaviour. But I also think we need to examine things from a rather different perspective — the other end of the problem, so to speak.

So I want to throw out some ideas on organizational values and their importance in shaping the future of online campaigning. To do this, I want you to join me in a brief “thought experiment.” On this historic anniversary, let’s consider the diverse mixture of organizational values that led to the foundation of the Labour Party, and let’s briefly consider how these have relevance for Labour’s approach to online campaigning.

The Labour Party is now well into its second century, but the historical traces of that famous meeting in Farringdon Street in February 1900 remain. As is well known, the Labour Representation Committee (as the party was first named) was pluralistic. It was, and still is, a federation of affiliates. Today it would probably be called the “Labour Representation Network”. But certainly it was a rather awkward blend of very different pre-existing organizations. There was the Fabian Society, the Independent Labour Party, an obscure group called the Social Democratic Federation, some trade unionists, and some Lib-Lab MPs.

Each of these groups brought a distinct set of values to the new Party. The Fabian Society, then dominated by Sidney and Beatrice Webb, brought an emphasis on collectivism, regulation, order and control. They celebrated rational administration by trained experts and insisted that some element of hierarchy was essential for good governance. They saw the Labour Party itself as a compromise between a responsible mass democracy on the one hand, and enlightened authority, on the other.

Then we have the Independent Labour Party of which Keir Hardie was the most prominent figure. The ILP advocated a new morality based on voluntarism. They emphasized local community initiatives, the importance of fellowship, fraternalism, and individual and collective creativity.

The Social Democratic Federation believed in a rather curious mixture of radical libertarianism and revolutionary socialism. They were suspicious of the centralizing tendencies of the Fabians and tended to promote individual rights and freedoms rather than bureaucratic regulation. They were sceptical of claims to authority, highly critical of representatives and wished to see them replaced by direct democracy through ongoing public debate and decision-making by referendum.

Finally, we have the trade union movement, which steadily moved towards formal support for Labour over the course of the next two decades. The dominant ethos of the unions was based on pragmatism, collaboration, co-operation and solidarity in the world of work, but also in the sphere of politics.

Of course, much has changed since February 1900. The Labour Party’s ideas continued to evolve in all kinds of ways that can’t be covered here. But my point is that many of these founding values are still highly relevant to the contexts of twenty-first century British politics. And, more importantly, it is a combination of these values that ought to inform the Labour Party’s future approach to online campaigning.

The future of Labour’s online campaigning should be a matter of enshrining as many of these diverse values in the online spaces that the party constructs or, perhaps more importantly, the spaces and networks with which the party chooses to affiliate. Online campaigning ought to balance hierarchy, leadership and structure against voluntarism, creativity and initiative. It ought to balance individual freedom and scepticism of authority against collaboration, co-operation and solidarity. And it ought to be about local community activism as much as it is about the Westminster elite.

Though it’s evolving rapidly, the communications toolkit for the next election is already in place. After web 2.0, a term that I do think has substance, it’s now clear that the 1990s British political website model is finally dead. Initiatives like Labourlist.org, for example, are breaking the mould. Any online environment that structures a range of opportunities for meaningful action by politicians and citizens deserves to succeed. But I wonder if Labourlist might not end up being too driven by the Westminster elite, especially as the urge towards command and control intensifies in the run up to the next election campaign?

So arguably the immediate challenge is this: can Labour design its online campaign so that it meshes with the diverse aspects of its organizational structures that it values and wishes to maintain. But can it also loosen and democratize its structures, to reach out to those millions of self-organizing citizens who now conduct their politics far away from the official party websites, in the fragmented spaces of blog comments, discussion forums, online petitions, Flickr, Facebook, Twitter, and Wikipedia, to name but a few.

In other words, can Labour learn from its foundation, and build new networks of democratic affiliation?